House GLM 5-3

“Caleb Williams faces a Green Bay secondary that has been generous to opposing quarterbacks, and his rushing ability gives him a floor even if the passing game stalls out at home.”

“Jonathan Taylor is a true workhorse on volume alone, and Indianapolis playing at home against a Pittsburgh front that can be run on should keep his carry count high enough to clear this salary.”

“Ashton Jeanty has taken control of the Las Vegas backfield, and a road date with a New England defence that has struggled to stop the run makes him a cheap volume play relative to the top-priced backs.”

“Ja'Marr Chase remains the centrepiece of the Cincinnati offence in a game where Miami should force the Bengals to keep throwing, and his target share is the most reliable thing on this slate.”

“Drake London draws a Baltimore defence that has been vulnerable on the outside, and Atlanta trailing in this spot should mean a heavy dose of targets rather than a run-out clock.”

“Zay Flowers is the cheapest of the top receivers I trust, and Baltimore's passing game against Atlanta's soft secondary gives him a real path to a ceiling week at this price.”

“Trey McBride is Arizona's de facto number one receiver, and Detroit's defence has allowed production to tight ends all season, so his target volume makes him worth the top tight end salary.”

“Tony Pollard at the minimum salary is pure cap relief with genuine usage, as Houston's lead back facing a Tennessee defence that has been weak against the run gives him flex viability for nearly free.”