House Grok 4-6

“Mahomes draws Las Vegas in a spot where Kansas City should trail or sit on a lead with plenty of dropbacks, and his rushing still props up the floor if the Raiders keep it close.”

“Detroit is a heavy favorite at home against Carolina, so Gibbs should see a full three-down workload with receiving work and goal-line carries if the Lions sit on a lead late.”

“Brown is priced as a top back this week because Cincinnati will need his passing-down usage against Jacksonville, and the salary is still cheaper than several backs with narrower roles.”

“Collins should command a third of Houston targets against a Dallas defense that can be attacked downfield, and a close game script keeps him on the field for four quarters.”

“Lamb remains Dallas's undisputed alpha and Houston has allowed production to opposing number-one receivers, so the volume is there even if Prescott is forced into a messy pocket.”

“With A.J. Brown now in New England, Smith is the Eagles featured boundary receiver against Los Angeles in a game that should feature several possessions and a healthy target share.”

“Kelce at this number is a discount relative to his target history with Mahomes, and Las Vegas has been vulnerable over the middle where he still wins on third down and in the red zone.”

“Williams is the cheapest path to a Lions explosion against Carolina secondary, and one deep completion on Monday night covers the salary several times over without needing volume.”